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2008 Futures Market Weekly Report

        Dept. of Futures Supervision              No.22 (Total No.394)                    June 13, 2008


1. Trading in futures exchanges
 

Exchanges

Volume

(lot)

Change

(%)

Percentage (%)

Turnover

(100 million)

Change

(%)

Percentage (%)

Position

(lot)

Change

(%)

Shanghai Futures Exchange

4280030

-21.1%

24.0%

5330.87

-19.8%

46.7%

735774

4.0%

Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange

5651696

-12.1%

31.7%

2185.17

-11.4%

19.2%

1360800

-1.9%

Dalian Commodity Exchange

7906246

22.3%

44.3%

3891.68

27.3%

34.1%

1971432

-0.9%

Total

17837972

-2.6%

100.0%

11407.72721

-6.3%

100.0%

4068006

-0.4%



2. Trading of commodities futures
 

Type

Volume

(lot)

Turnover

(100 million)

Change

(%)

Percentage

(%)

Position

(lot)

Change

(%)

Stock

(ton)

Monthly settlement (lot)

Copper

374408

1123.81

-23.2%

9.9%

166838

5.4%

33992

3270

Aluminum

155808

147.95

18.1%

1.3%

148068

-3.5%

183393

6500

Zinc

904606

720.55

-22.1%

6.3%

190458

-2.6%

68267

395

Gold

68102

133.27

-12.7%

1.2%

32422

2.4%

0.36

0

Natural rubber

2274650

2949.17

-19.2%

25.9%

131604

8.9%

18020

1527

Fuel oil

502456

256.13

-22.9%

2.2%

66384

38.3%

102597

390

Hard wheat

4738

0.86

-23.9%

0.0%

13428

-4.2%

400

134

Strong

gluten wheat

1014028

211.71

31.6%

1.9%

274058

3.3%

200930

19394

Cotton

61788

45.07

-15.2%

0.4%

89870

0.6%

152500

16672

Sugar

3300852

1287.51

-28.9%

11.3%

819956

-8.1%

537520

17120

PTA

1040254

497.03

45.9%

4.4%

120636

30.1%

82900

44912

Rapeseed oil

230036

142.98

42.8%

1.3%

42852

29.7%

2050

8150

Yellow soybean No.1

2445040

1214.49

11.7%

10.6%

662344

-6.7%

47930

10432

Yellow soybean No.2

638

0.31

-3.1%

0.0%

192

1.1%

0

0

Corn

2068070

396.65

36.4%

3.5%

910454

-2.9%

411180

34204

Soybean meal

1967480

780.10

39.6%

6.8%

223584

4.8%

34770

31

Soybean oil

863824

1031.61

32.7%

9.0%

143464

45.9%

94100

7530

LLDPE

491766

393.39

42.7%

3.4%

15620

-20.8%

680

136

Palm oil

69428

75.13

10.4%

0.7%

15774

49.5%

0

2201

Total

17837972

11407.73

-6.3%

100.0%

4068006

-0.4%

1971229.36

172998



3. Analysis of elements influencing the market


Affected by the expected US interest hike, raise of US dollar exchange rate and weak spot demand, international gold futures price dropped, and Shanghai gold futures price slipped. Because US dollar exchange rate inched up after dropping and China’s copper import volume continued to decline in May, international copper futures price fell after increase. Shanghai copper futures price dropped. As a result of the increased aluminum-smelting cost due to domestic energy supply shortage, Shanghai aluminum futures price rose after fluctuation. Shanghai zinc futures price fell. The insufficient supply of domestic spot market led to increase of Shanghai rubber futures price. Because of the possible conflicts between Israel and Iran, supply worries and declining US dollar exchange rate, international crude oil futures price skyrocketed. With the rise of domestic coal price and the brewed climb of electricity price, Shanghai fuel oil futures price rose. Dalian soybean No.1 futures price inched down after surge. Dalian soybean meal futures price fell back at the closing after consecutive climb. Dalian soybean oil futures price was up after fluctuation. On account of the stability of spot supply and demand and China’s macro-control policies, Dalian corn futures price fluctuated in a narrow range. Dalian LLDPE futures price soared. Dalian palm oil futures price saw a consecutive increase. Zhengzhou wheat futures price fell back after ascent, with cotton futures price fluctuating for consolidation and sugar futures price in narrow consolidation. Zhengzhou PTA futures price and rapeseed oil futures price rose after fluctuation.

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