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2008 Futures Market Weekly Report No.19 (Total No.391)

Dept. of Futures Supervision No.19 (Total No.391)  

May 23, 2008

1. Trading in futures exchanges

Exchanges

Volume (lot)

Change (%)

Percentage (%)

Turnover (100 million)

Change (%)

Percentage (%)

Position (lot)

Change (%)

Shanghai Futures Exchange

4490764

14.8%

22.1%

5781.26

8.5%

45.7%

695522

0.7%

Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange

5590978

-20.9%

27.5%

2013.89

-24.7%

15.9%

1238168

-1.8%

Dalian Commodity Exchange

10274894

-7.0%

50.5%

4842.64

-9.2%

38.3%

2124972

2.3%

Total

20356636

-7.6%

100.0%

12637.79

-5.3%

100.0%

4058662

0.8%

2. Trading of commodities futures

Type

Volume (lot)

Turnover (100 million)

Change (%)

Percentage (%)

Position (lot)

Change (%)

Stock (ton)

Monthly settlement (lot)

Copper

472004

1481.76

-26.5%

11.7%

148504

-0.9%

45586

3270

Aluminum

246788

237.14

15.5%

1.9%

159656

-5.1%

185917

6500

Zinc

912210

841.22

-20.9%

6.7%

152884

-6.6%

69130

395

Gold

78286

160.20

38.1%

1.3%

36296

-7.2%

0.36

0

Natural rubber

2399444

2877.19

63.9%

22.8%

146602

24.6%

25200

1527

Fuel oil

382032

183.76

6.5%

1.5%

51580

-0.9%

88897

390

Hard wheat

11888

2.15

-3.0%

0.0%

12060

4.0%

400

70

Strong gluten wheat

1108618

222.82

20.1%

1.8%

264796

-2.5%

200930

1244

Cotton

93234

69.62

51.9%

0.6%

94414

6.3%

160880

7576

Sugar

4010130

1529.49

-31.1%

12.1%

758066

-4.0%

520900

9978

PTA

147622

63.54

39.3%

0.5%

79730

13.3%

96425

4642

Rapeseed oil

219486

126.26

-28.1%

1.0%

29102

0.1%

10780

0

Yellow soybean No.1

5122846

2435.07

-0.6%

19.3%

791528

-2.8%

63040

706

Yellow soybean No.2

1100

0.50

-68.2%

0.0%

228

-8.1%

0

0

Corn

2193330

418.21

-13.7%

3.3%

997000

5.0%

402840

741

Soybean meal

1723736

623.02

-9.0%

4.9%

212564

18.5%

34950

773

Soybean oil

1152642

1286.34

-15.5%

10.2%

109346

-6.5%

98850

5

LLDPE

17708

12.77

26.2%

0.1%

3816

-27.6%

680

54

Palm oil

63532

66.72

-63.4%

0.5%

10490

2.8%

0

0

Total

20356636

12637.78

-5.3%

100.0%

4058662

0.8%

2005405.36

37871

3. Analysis of elements influencing the market

International gold futures price slipped after rising high, while Shanghai gold futures price rose. Because the consumption in China hasn't seen remarkable increase and the American economic data were both worried and glad, international copper futures price fell after fluctuation. Shanghai copper futures price dropped. International aluminum futures price was in correction. The sufficient supply of domestic spot market led to correction of shanghai aluminum futures price. With the increase of zinc stock, international zinc futures price was down. Zinc plants resumed their production after suspension due to the Sichuan Earthquake and the domestic zinc stock was sufficient, so Shanghai zinc futures price fell down. Tokyo rubber futures price rose after fluctuation. As a result of the upcoming tapping season in domestic production areas and the decrease of exchange’s stock, Shanghai rubber futures price was up. With the weakening US dollar, the decreasing crude oil stock, and the market’s concern that the increasingly global demand may lead to further shortage of distillate oil supply, international crude oil futures price inched down after consecutive rise. Shanghai fuel oil futures price rose. Dalian soybean No.1 futures price was in correction. Dalian soybean meal rose steadily. Dalian soybean oil futures price bounced back from the lowest level. Since the Sichuan earthquake might cause drastic cut of corn feed demand, and the newly-harvested wheat might substitute the corn, Dalian corn futures price was down after fluctuation. Dalian LLDPE futures price soared from the bottom low. Dalian palm oil futures price fluctuated greatly. Zhengzhou wheat futures price slumped, with cotton futures price rising and sugar futures price falling after fluctuation. Zhengzhou PTA futures price rose after fluctuation while rapeseed oil futures price was in correction at a low level.

 


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